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Trading Strategy with Fibonacci Butterfly Pattern

The Fibonacci pattern or harmonic pattern continues to be a trusted indicator by investors and traders to detect reversals in the forex market. One important pattern to understand is the Fibonacci Butterfly pattern. By following the correct rules, you can leverage this pattern to identify potential trading opportunities. Here's a complete guide on trading strategy with the Fibonacci Butterfly pattern:


Basic Understanding of the Fibonacci Butterfly Pattern

The Fibonacci Butterfly pattern is one of the Fibonacci patterns with a basic 4-leg pattern (XABCD), similar to the Fibonacci Gartley and Bat patterns. The main difference is its last leg (CD), which is a Fibonacci extension of its initial leg (XA). This pattern provides trading opportunities with signals at extreme price levels, as the last leg has significant length. The Fibonacci Butterfly pattern has bullish and bearish versions.

Procedure for Drawing Fibonacci Butterfly Pattern Lines

  1. Leg XA: Draw a line from the highest price to the lowest price when the price is sharply declining.
  2. Leg AB: Retracement of 78.6% from leg XA, drawn when the price starts to rise again.
  3. Leg BC: Drawn when the price starts to decline again with retracement ranging from 38.2% to 88.6% of leg AB.
  4. Leg CD: The last leg drawn when the price rises sharply with an extension of 127% to 161.8% from leg XA. Ideally, leg CD is also an extension of 161.8% to 261.8% from leg BC.

Practical Application of the Fibonacci Butterfly Pattern
  • This pattern has a high level of accuracy when all leg rules are met.
  • It can be used on various timeframes, but it is recommended to avoid timeframes below H4 due to higher noise and fake signal risks.
  • Example application of the bearish Fibonacci Butterfly pattern on the XAU/USD (gold/US dollar) H4 pair: Open a sell position when leg CD has formed the Fibonacci Butterfly pattern with extensions of 127%-161% from leg XA. Set Stop Loss (SL) from the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of leg XA. Take Profit (TP) positions can be placed at 50%-61.8% retracement from line AD or aligned with point A.
By understanding the Fibonacci Butterfly pattern and applying appropriate trading strategies, you can increase the potential for success in forex trading. Always consider risks and additional trading costs to optimize your trading results.

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