Retail Investment Surge

 

Retail Investment Surge: Gold and Stocks Lead Growth

Bareksa recorded a sharp increase in retail investor activity despite ongoing global economic uncertainty triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions. Although investors have become more selective, interest in investment products remains strong.

This trend is reflected in the steady growth of retail investment value on the Bareksa platform through the end of February 2026. Notably, the most significant gains came from gold and stock transactions, which surged 331% and 271% year-on-year, respectively.

Bareksa Officer Ni Putu Kurniasari explained that the rising public interest in digital gold investment is supported by clear regulations in Indonesia from both the Commodity Futures Trading Regulatory Agency (Bappebti) and the Financial Services Authority (OJK).

Digital gold transactions are also considered more efficient because they offer a low minimum investment value, making them accessible to more retail investors.

“On Bareksa, for example, gold investment can start from as little as Rp50,000, making it an affordable solution for retail investors,” Ni Putu said during the Bareksa media gathering event in Jakarta on Wednesday (March 11, 2026).

Meanwhile, Indonesia’s stock market has recently come under public scrutiny. Concerns have emerged over transparency in share ownership data and information asymmetry, which can disadvantage retail investors.

Market attention has also been drawn to the influence of large capital players (big players) and allegations of stock price manipulation, including insider trading practices by certain market participants.

In response, Bareksa supports ongoing capital market reforms in Indonesia initiated by regulators, stakeholders, and market participants to improve transparency and fairness.

“Bareksa supports the capital market regulator’s efforts to eliminate practices that disadvantage retail investors in order to maintain the integrity of Indonesia’s capital market in the eyes of investors,” said Karaniya Dharmasaputra, CEO and Co-Founder of Bareksa.

Looking ahead, Bareksa believes that the trend of investment diversification will continue to grow as public awareness increases about the importance of balanced portfolio management.

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Gold Eyes $5200

Gold Tests $5,200 Before US CPI

Gold prices struggled to maintain momentum above the $5,000 level early Wednesday, even as oil prices declined. The US Dollar weakened again as risk sentiment improved, while market participants shifted their focus to the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

Technically, gold closed Tuesday above the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $5,141, raising the possibility of further upside. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains near 57, comfortably above the neutral 50 level. This suggests bullish momentum is still intact despite the recent pullback from late-May highs.

If the monthly and annual US core CPI figures come in stronger than expected, it could reduce the chances of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Such a scenario may revive the US Dollar’s upward trend and pressure gold prices lower. In that case, gold could retest the $5,000 support zone, with a potential decline toward the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $4,915.

On the other hand, gold may extend its recovery if inflation slows faster than forecast. This would increase expectations of rate cuts and weaken the US Dollar. Under this scenario, gold could climb toward the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance at $5,342, provided the key psychological barrier at $5,250 is decisively broken.

Despite rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, gold has struggled to fully shine as a traditional safe-haven asset and inflation hedge.

However, renewed selling pressure in oil prices—following a Reuters report that the International Energy Agency (IEA) proposed the largest oil reserve release in history to curb crude prices—has boosted market risk appetite. This development reduced the safe-haven demand for the US Dollar, indirectly supporting gold’s rebound from near the $5,000 level.

Markets are now eagerly awaiting the February US CPI inflation report to assess whether Federal Reserve rate cuts remain possible later this year. The inflation data could act as a key catalyst for gold buyers aiming to restore the metal’s bullish trend.

Economists expect annual US core CPI to remain steady at 2.5% in February, while monthly core CPI is projected to rise 0.2%, slightly slower than January’s 0.3% increase. Meanwhile, headline annual CPI is expected to stay around 2.4% during the same period.

Even so, the market reaction to US inflation data may prove temporary, as escalating tensions in the Middle East and volatile oil prices could continue to dominate investor sentiment in the near term.

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Gold Iran Focus

 

Gold Follows Global Market Relief Rally, Focus on Iran War

Gold extended its rebound from near $5,000 early Tuesday as global risk sentiment improved across financial markets. The US Dollar (USD) consolidated its overnight losses after comments from US President Donald Trump suggested that the war involving Iran could “soon be over.”

From a technical perspective, gold needs a daily close above the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $5,141 to confirm further upside momentum.

Gold Technical Outlook Remains Slightly Bullish

The short-term bias for gold remains slightly bullish as prices continue to hold above the rising 21-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). Meanwhile, the 100-day and 200-day SMAs are also trending higher well below current market levels, reinforcing the broader uptrend.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits near 55, staying above the neutral 50 level. This indicates positive momentum without being overbought, suggesting the market is still digesting its recent gains.

Gold recently rebounded from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $4,858.82, measured from the $4,401.99 low to the $5,597.89 high, supporting the view that buyers remain active during pullbacks within the broader bullish trend.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

The nearest support level is located at the 50% Fibonacci retracement near $4,999.94, followed by the 38.2% retracement at $4,858.82, where previous demand aligns with a cluster of intermediate moving averages.

A break below this area could expose the next downside target toward the 23.6% retracement at $4,684.22.

On the upside, initial resistance is seen near the recent high around $5,263.55, followed by the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $5,141.05, which now acts as an important reference within the current trading range. The next major resistance lies at the swing high of $5,597.89.

A daily close above $5,263.55 would likely open the door for a retest of $5,597.89, while a move below $4,999.94 could weaken the current bullish bias and shift gold into a broader consolidation phase.

Market Relief Rally Supports Gold Prices

Gold buyers returned to the market as investors reacted to a relief rally across global financial markets. The rally emerged after oil prices cooled and traders began anticipating a possible end to the Middle East conflict.

Optimism increased after Donald Trump told CBS News on Monday:

“I think the war is very complete, almost finished. They have no navy, no communication, and no air force.”

Earlier Tuesday, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that Trump’s advisers had privately urged him to seek an exit strategy, amid rising oil prices and concerns that a prolonged conflict could trigger political backlash. This reportedly pushed the US president to publicly signal that the military campaign in Iran could soon end.

Additional relief came after reports suggested that Washington may soften sanctions on Russian energy, which contributed to a sharp reversal in oil prices after they had surged 25% to a three-year high.

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